Template-type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Haberman, S. Author-Name: Day, C. Author-Name: Fogarty, D. Author-Name: Khorasanee, M. Z. Author-Name: McWhirter, M. Author-Name: Nash, N. Author-Name: Ngwira, B. Author-Name: Wright, I. D. Author-Name: Yakoubov, Y. Title: A Stochastic Approach to Risk Management and Decision Making in Defined Benefit Pension Schemes Journal: British Actuarial Journal Pages: 493-586 Issue: 3 Volume: 9 Year: 2003 Month: August Abstract: The trustees and sponsors of defined benefit schemes rely on the advice of the Scheme Actuary to make important decisions concerning the funding of the scheme, the investment of its assets, and the use of surplus assets to improve benefits. These decisions have to be made in the face of considerable uncertainty about financial and demographic factors that will affect the future experience of the scheme and its success in meeting various objectives. The traditional actuarial valuation combined with actuarial judgement has played an important role in guiding decision making; but we argue that stochastic methods can add value in certain crucial areas, in particular the financial risk management of defined benefit schemes. Rather than dealing with risk by incorporating margins in the valuation basis, a stochastic approach allows the actuary to evaluate specific and quantifiable risk and performance measures for alternative funding and investment strategies. This paper recommends a framework that, when combined with a suitable stochastic model, measures the risks inherent in contribution rate and asset allocation decisions, allowing better decisions to be made. In doing this, we suggest and apply various risk and performance measures that may be thought appropriate, although our intention is to illustrate their use rather than prescribe them as objective standards. The framework provides the means to explore the trade-offs involved in possible contribution and asset allocation decisions, and points to decision strategies expected to give improved outcomes for the same level of risk. A feature of the approach that marks it out from current asset/liability techniques is that it examines the funding and investment decisions together. It does not derive a contribution rate in the traditional way, but leaves this as free variable, in the same way that the investment decision is taken to be a free variable. Another distinctive feature of our framework is that it is based on projection rather than on valuation, involving stochastic simulation of the experience of the scheme over a time horizon reflecting the concerns of the trustees and the sponsoring employer. The paper provides a case study (based on a model final salary pension scheme) showing the advantages of the framework, and goes on to explain how the results may practically be communicated to trustees and scheme sponsors. File-URL: https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S135732170000427X/type/journal_article File-Function: link to article abstract page File-Format: text/html Handle: RePEc:cup:bracjl:v:9:y:2003:i:03:p:493-586_00 Template-type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anonymous Title: A Stochastic Approach to Risk Management and Decision Making in Defined Benefit Pension Schemes. Abstract of the Discussion Journal: British Actuarial Journal Pages: 587-618 Issue: 3 Volume: 9 Year: 2003 Month: August Abstract: File-URL: https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S1357321700004281/type/journal_article File-Function: link to article abstract page File-Format: text/html Handle: RePEc:cup:bracjl:v:9:y:2003:i:3:p:587-618_3 Template-type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adams, A.T. Author-Name: Booth, P.M. Author-Name: MacGregor, B.D. Title: Lease Terms, Option Pricing and the Financial Characteristics of Property Journal: British Actuarial Journal Pages: 619-635 Issue: 3 Volume: 9 Year: 2003 Month: August Abstract: Traditional and standard discounted cash flow valuation techniques are unable to deal with a variety of options contained in lease contracts. In the United Kingdom the most important embedded option is the upward-only rent review. This becomes more valuable to the landlord in an era of low demand and low inflation, as nominal market rents are more likely to fall. Lease contracts are freely negotiated between landlord and tenant, and alternative forms of rent review clause would fundamentally change the investment characteristics of property. Many other less common options also exist in lease contracts and these create further valuation difficulties. It is essential that property valuation techniques be developed that explicitly value the options in lease contracts. File-URL: https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S1357321700004293/type/journal_article File-Function: link to article abstract page File-Format: text/html Handle: RePEc:cup:bracjl:v:9:y:2003:i:03:p:619-635_00 Template-type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sun, L. Author-Name: Yang, H. Title: Ruin Theory in a Discrete Time Risk Model with Interest Income Journal: British Actuarial Journal Pages: 637-652 Issue: 3 Volume: 9 Year: 2003 Month: August Abstract: In this paper we consider a discrete time insurance risk model with interest income. Using the recursive calculation method of De Vylder & Goovaerts (1988), recursive equations for the finite time ruin probabilities and the distribution of the time of ruin are derived. Fredholm type integral equations for the ultimate ruin probability, the distribution of the severity of ruin, the joint distribution of surplus before and after ruin, and the probability of absolute ruin are obtained. Numerical results are included. File-URL: https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S135732170000430X/type/journal_article File-Function: link to article abstract page File-Format: text/html Handle: RePEc:cup:bracjl:v:9:y:2003:i:03:p:637-652_00 Template-type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thomson, R.J. Title: The Use of Utility Functions for Investment Channel Choice in Defined Contribution Retirement Funds. I: Defence Journal: British Actuarial Journal Pages: 653-709 Issue: 3 Volume: 9 Year: 2003 Month: August Abstract: This paper addresses the use of expected utility theory for the recommendation of an apportionment between investment channels of a member's interest in a defined contribution retirement fund. Such usage is defended against arguments that have been levelled against expected utility theory and empirical evidence is discussed. File-URL: https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S1357321700004311/type/journal_article File-Function: link to article abstract page File-Format: text/html Handle: RePEc:cup:bracjl:v:9:y:2003:i:03:p:653-709_00 Template-type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anonymous Title: Papers from Actuarial Journals Worldwide Journal: British Actuarial Journal Pages: 711-718 Issue: 3 Volume: 9 Year: 2003 Month: August Abstract: File-URL: https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S1357321700004323/type/journal_article File-Function: link to article abstract page File-Format: text/html Handle: RePEc:cup:bracjl:v:9:y:2003:i:3:p:711-718_7